forum zespołu muzyki folk Portfolk

beioiog7y3l

After a year of economic growth, with persistent discussions of a possible double dip recession on the horizon, and little optimism for a quick economic recovery [url=http://www.jeremyparendt.com/Barbour-Paris.php]barbour france paris[/url] to pre recession incomes, real estate and residential lease agreement markets, and [url=http://www.sandvikfw.net/shopuk.php]hollister outlet sale[/url] employment, how does the recovery really look? How long is the recovery going to take?

For historical reference, it took ten years from the low point in the Great Depression until incomes, real estate and residential lease agreement markets, and employment figures recovered to their pre crash levels. Post WWII, recessions have generally lasted between 6 12 months, and full recovery from the low point has taken less than a year on average.

But if you look at recession recovery in the last century around the world, a pattern emerges, in which almost [url=http://www.ktbruce.co.uk/mulberrysale.php]mulberry sale[/url] all recessions took place regionally, or in one specific country, and when recovery happened, it was fueled by growth in [url=http://www.tagverts.com/barbour.php]barbour deutschland[/url] exports. In other words, money from other countries flooded inward, to purchase newly [url=http://www.rtnagel.com/airjordan.php]nike air jordan pas cher[/url] inexpensive goods and services.

So what happens when almost every country in [url=http://www.teatrodeoro.com/hollisterde.php]hollister[/url] the world experiences a recession at the same time, due to our increasingly global economy? What happens when Europe experiences a debt crisis, [url=http://www.par5club.com/louboutin.php]louboutin[/url] and entire economies and currencies (such as Iceland) collapse?

In other words, whose external money is going to ride in and fuel recovery?

The United States’ economy is more service based than ever, with hundreds of thousands of Americans’ livelihoods disappearing from the real estate and residential lease agreement sector alone. Today, foreigners own the [url=http://www.agentparadise.com]woolrich outlet[/url] highest percentage of American real estate ever experienced in [url=http://www.gotprintsigns.com/abercrombiepascher/‎]abercrombie pas cher[/url] America’s history. Roughly a quarter of all U.S. Treasury bonds are owned by foreign governments (note that this number does not include foreign privately owned debt), and by some estimates half of the United States’ debt is owned overseas.

Carmen Reinhardt, from the University of Maryland’s Public Policy Institute, has released a statistical analysis that predicts that full recovery from the current recession will take about four years, for incomes, employment figures, and real estate and residential lease agreement markets. She points to several unresolved problems in the financial sector, including bad assets dragging down balance sheets. Additionally, in the top 100 metropolitan areas in America, every single one had grown in economic output by the end of the fourth quarter 2009, but jobs failed to recover in 99 of the 100 cities.

Most economists are in agreement: the national economy isn’t going anywhere until jobs recover. Without job recovery, real estate will continue to go into foreclosure, dragging down real estate and residential lease agreement markets nationwide. Consumer spending won’t move upward without jobs, and government budgets will continue to be strapped until more citizens are paying taxes instead of demanding benefits. But the jobs just aren’t appearing, because businesses don’t feel confident enough to [url=http://www.thehygienerevolution.com/hollister.php]hollister france[/url] expand their payrolls.

In a best case scenario, we will avoid a double dip recession, and simply continue to have extremely slow growth, until a tipping point is reached in two or three years and the economy takes off [url=http://www.fibmilano.it]woolrich[/url] on its own momentum and public confidence. The worst case scenario is far scarier: Winter 2010 2011 shows negative growth, and the economy crashes again, only with far more government debt in place this time around, and even less optimism for a speedy recovery. For [url=http://www.rtnagel.com/louboutin.php]louboutin pas cher[/url] anyone with cash to invest, look for safe long term investments that will eventually recover fully no matter what, such as real estate and residential lease agreement properties in stable neighborhoods, companies that have a long and stable history, and precious metals such as gold.
相关的主题文章：

[url=http://cgi.ebay.com.au/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=220683313529&ssPageName=STRK:MESE:IT]hollister sale Online Surveys[/url]

[url=http://www.vill.tabayama.yamanashi.jp/cgi-def/admin/C-002/bb1208/visit/main.pl?PAGE_NUM=1]abercrombie milano Have A Bla[/url]

[url=http://wcsxzx.org/clgaoke_GuestBook.asp]nike air j[/url]