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Wysłany: Czw 15:11, 21 Lis 2013
Temat postu: louboutin pas cher Handicapping in NFL - significa
Source:
Many people are typically wagering on solid [url=http://www.renaissancedestoiles.fr]louboutin pas cher[/url] teams that can pass, the ones with capable quarterback, while [url=http://www.batfriendtrust.it/category/scarpe-hogan/]Scarpe Hogan[/url] putting money on football.
Has it really a favorable effect on game resolution, or are people mistaking?
I'm gonna start widely with research, first taking a look at teams which have averagely more passing yards than their opponent.
It comes down to 49,1% win ATS.
Aha, so they are wrong,you will say. Just remember they are mistaken about which is the better team. Since these squads are favourites more than not. Casual handicappers don't know the numbers of capping. One must every time match squads vs line, not just vs. other team. More than 70% amateur bettors put [url=http://www.fayatindia.com/giuseppe-zanotti.html]giuseppe zanotti pas cher[/url] their green on favorites.
What if dominant passing team is lets say, 50+ yards better on avg. It is somewhat worse then - they cover in 48,6% of games. You would [url=http://www.mquin.com/pjsdoudoune.php]parajumpers pas cher[/url] come to similar results if you take a look at teams offensive and defensive passing [url=http://www.davidhabchy.com]barbour outlet[/url] yards. Squads which have better passing offense than defense, are [url=http://www.thehygienerevolution.com/cl.php]louboutin[/url] not doing well too .
What if we combine those 2 components together? Here are results.
1. Team has bigger offensive yardage that defensive [url=http://www.reedlawky.com/hollisterde.php]hollister deutschland[/url] and has better offensive passing yardage than [url=http://www.ttcarpets.co.uk]mulberry outlet[/url] current opponent - 48,4% ATS [url=http://www.tileproject.net]barbour sale[/url] on big sample.
2. identical as above, but [url=http://www.muvilav.it]woolrich sito ufficiale[/url] with at least 50 yards more this time - 46,7 % ATS.
Here is the point: [url=http://www.riad-marrakesh.fr]www.riad-marrakesh.fr[/url] don't trust much passing capability, it makes the line move. Solid passing teams evidently have much respect from casual cappers.
And how about [url=http://www.jeremyparendt.com/Barbour-Paris.php]barbour france paris[/url] solid defensive teams that do [url=http://www.lotogame.fr/hollisterfrance.php]hollister pas cher[/url] not allow numerous passes? This could be interesting. Teams conceding less passing yards than their opponent are 50,8% against the spread. Seems like we are right. So, what you need to know?
Casual wagerers enjoy to put money on squads with quarterbacks making passing plays. It looks attractive, and makes Occasional cappersbelieve they put money on sure thing, but they actually should bet the opposite.
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